 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|---|
Rebirth
The Tiananmen debacle resulted in a brief spell of conservatism, but within a few years, Deng Xiaoping choreographed the rebirth of reform and openness with his historic “southern tour.” With Deng’s assurance that “to get rich is glorious,” entrepreneurial energy exploded again, concentrated now in the coastal cities. The leadership, guided by economic czar Zhu Rongji, enacted a far-reaching structural transformation of the economic sphere, anchored in privatization of state-owned enterprises. Ironically, China’s lack of full reform—especially in the financial sector and monetary policy—protected the Chinese economy from the vicissitudes of hot money and capital flight that ravaged its neighbors during the East Asian financial crisis. |
||
China's Opacity Protected it from CrisisPeriod: Rebirth (1990s)
|
Click to expand In this particular instance, China’s opacity, lack of transparency, and lack of openness, worked to its advantage. These are banks that are, to this day, heavily controlled by the government. They might have foreign partners, some of them might have spun off shares, but they are basically still, and they certainly were back in '96-'97, dominated by national government policy. So, it was really not a betting against them, there was really not a breaking of the banks or of the currency. Now, the government did something else that turned out to be quite memorable for the rest of Asia, which was that in the face of these torrents working their way through the financial system, there was a temptation to devalue your currency as a way of continuing to be competitive in global markets through your exports. And China, for a lot of different reasons, did not do so. I think it was seen as a position of strength, or a move by China to try to forestall further devaluations that might have happened by other countries to remain competitive with China were it to have devalued. I think to a certain part, this was really just realpolitik. To alter the value of your currency is a traumatic event, particularly in economies with profoundly rickety financial systems. And, even today, China has a rickety financial system. And back in '96-'97, the shocks and aftershocks that it might have caused, and the dislocations in the banking system, or in the export market, if it were to have taken a sort of radical step with its currency, might have been highly counterproductive, so it chose not to. But that was seen as a bulwark in Asia and something that China got some good PR points for.
|
Cite this Source >>
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Add New Comment
comments powered by Disqus