Ramping up its export juggernaut and taking full advantage of WTO entry, China’s economy in the first decade of the new millennium was “boom with no bust.” The information revolution fed more growth, as hundreds of millions of Chinese came online. But the Internet also became a forum for discontent, and the new leadership team of Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao acknowledged growing environmental and social justice concerns with their call for a more harmonious society. Then, as the credit crisis in the US spread into a global economic crisis, China’s export-dependent growth appeared in jeopardy, and fears of a Chinese crash surfaced. But, as in 1998, China weathered the storm, and emerged in 2010 as the world’s largest exporter, largest foreign creditor, and fastest growing major economy, poised to soon surpass Japan and eventually eclipse the United States as the biggest economy on the planet.
Robert Oxnam is a China scholar and former President of Asia Society. Having obtained his doctorate at Yale as one of the earliest pupils of lauded historian Jonathan Spence, Oxnam has contributed to cross-cultural understanding in myriad ways, including as a tenured professor of Japanese and Chinese History at Trinity College, founder of the China Council at the Asia Society, and later, as president of the Asia Society. Furthermore, he has been frequently consulted by political leaders in matters related to political unrest in China in the late 1980s. He also accompanied former U.S. President George H. W. Bush as an on-the-ground adviser on a goodwill trip to China in the late 1990s. Additionally, he has led financial-cultural tours of China for Bill Gates, and Warren Buffet. He also spent time on the Board of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund.
China’s been modernizing throughout its history. When Chinese look backwards, they see moments in which there was traumatic historical change that put China, if not #1 on Earth, at least among the great civilizations. China’s very notion of itself is that it is a middle kingdom. Zhongguo, the word in Chinese for China, itself means middle kingdom. That is a term that dates back at least 2500 to 3000 years. And China’s unification, that is a single state governing all that is China, goes all the way back to the 3rd Century BCE. And that effort to unify the country back in the third century BC put China in the forefront of modernization back then. Chinese today, they don’t know all the history, but they study when they’re kids in school. They study about what they should be proud of. And, yes, the state helps organize it, most of the textbooks are very rote, but this feeling of identity is not rote. It is something that keeps coming back. When the Olympics takes place, the Chinese not only had a good Olympics, a great Olympics, it had a spectacular Olympics. And what did they do in the opening ceremony of those Olympics? Every episode that you saw there, right back to the drummers and the dancers and all of that, had historical references. And it was designed to dazzle you on television, which it did, and it was also designed to say to the people in China that, "This is a great moment given all of that legacy. We’re going back 2000 years and this is another great moment for us." The boom, therefore, has political, educational, social, historical, cultural factors that are incredibly important.
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